GREAT ANALYSIS: Trump Has a Very Real Chance to Overturn the Election Result in Georgia

For any­thing to have even a remote chance of chang­ing when it comes to the out­come of the Elec­toral Col­lege, the cur­rent sta­tus of Penn­syl­va­nia, Wis­con­sin, and Geor­gia must change.

Penn­syl­va­nia is a bit of a mess at this point, but there are mean­ing­ful chal­lenges to the vote totals still pend­ing, the adverse deci­sion in fed­er­al dis­trict court is being appealed (inter­est­ing­ly, only the denial of leave to amend is being appealed), and a new com­plaint relat­ing to Philadel­phia and the sur­round­ing coun­ties is being sug­gest­ed as a pos­si­bil­i­ty. I’ll sum­ma­rize these in a day or two as more comes into focus this week.

The cam­paign has asked for recounts in two Wis­con­sin coun­ties — Dane and Mil­wau­kee. Both pro­duced a large num­ber of Biden votes — Dane Coun­ty par­tic­u­lar­ly. I’m not sure exact­ly what the goal is in recount­ing those coun­ties, but it seems as if Wis­con­sin law allows chal­lenges to bal­lots to be made dur­ing the recount process. The mar­gin is only 20,000 votes out of 3.2 mil­lion cast, so it is not out of the ques­tion that if there was some nefar­i­ous prac­tice engaged in, a recount might uncov­er a decent num­ber of votes. Wis­con­sin has same-day reg­is­tra­tion, so the empha­sis might be to tar­get sus­pi­cious reg­is­tra­tions as poten­tial­ly invalid votes in those two counties.

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