DATA: Trump Won 95% Of Bellwether Counties, Making Biden Win Statistically Improbable

In a video post­ed to Twit­ter on Thurs­day, Trump 2020 Cam­paign Senior Advi­sor for Strat­e­gy Steve Cortes took a deep dive into the 2020 elec­tion data regard­ing Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump’s over­whelm­ing­ly dom­i­nant per­for­mance in the Unit­ed States’ bell­wether coun­ties, adding to the sta­tis­ti­cal improb­a­bil­i­ty of a Joe Biden elec­toral victory.

“Out of 3,000 coun­ties in this coun­try, there are 19 that have a per­fect track record since 1980 of vot­ing for the suc­cess­ful pres­i­den­tial can­di­date,” Cortes not­ed. “Don­ald Trump, on Novem­ber 3, won 18 out of these 19 coun­ties. Could these bell­wether coun­ties real­ly have got­ten it wrong all at the same time?”

The cor­po­rate media has large­ly been unable to explain Trump’s dom­i­nant per­for­mance in bell­wether coun­ties, offer­ing up only vague ref­er­ences to “more racial­ly diverse pop­u­la­tions” in response to the coun­ties’ sharp con­trast with a pur­port­ed Biden victory.

“Let’s look at these indi­vid­ual coun­ties,” Cortes con­tin­ued, and took a look at Vigo Coun­ty, Indi­ana, which has only failed to vote for the pro­ject­ed win­ner once in over 100 years.


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